Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.024467 0.026327 0.028268 0.030448 0.032829 0.035355 0.038242
2024-12-22 0.020898 0.023471 0.026296 0.029638 0.033494 0.037821 0.043063
2024-12-29 0.018719 0.021708 0.025116 0.029311 0.034363 0.040286 0.047805
2025-01-05 0.017096 0.020339 0.024153 0.029000 0.035046 0.042397 0.052105
2025-01-12 0.015639 0.019002 0.023058 0.028355 0.035158 0.043693 0.055357
2025-01-19 0.014848 0.018394 0.022771 0.028634 0.036374 0.046377 0.060498
2025-01-26 0.014038 0.017689 0.022289 0.028589 0.037114 0.048427 0.064880
2025-02-02 0.013491 0.017272 0.022131 0.028928 0.038345 0.051167 0.070360
2025-02-09 0.012772 0.016581 0.021558 0.028650 0.038684 0.052662 0.074133
2025-02-16 0.012184 0.016025 0.021125 0.028522 0.039196 0.054395 0.078335
2025-02-23 0.011619 0.015466 0.020650 0.028293 0.039529 0.055861 0.082203
2025-03-02 0.011179 0.015055 0.020352 0.028287 0.040168 0.057792 0.086896
2025-03-09 0.010636 0.014478 0.019798 0.027887 0.040204 0.058827 0.090272
2025-03-16 0.010086 0.013865 0.019163 0.027329 0.039962 0.059406 0.092935
2025-03-23 0.009666 0.013420 0.018747 0.027071 0.040157 0.060667 0.096801
2025-03-30 0.009273 0.012995 0.018337 0.026797 0.040301 0.061838 0.100578
2025-04-06 0.008822 0.012465 0.017748 0.026211 0.039906 0.062091 0.102751
2025-04-13 0.008624 0.012302 0.017700 0.026466 0.040878 0.064660 0.109223
2025-04-20 0.008363 0.012032 0.017475 0.026424 0.041353 0.066405 0.114315
2025-04-27 0.008204 0.011910 0.017471 0.026733 0.042424 0.069231 0.121636
2025-05-04 0.007919 0.011584 0.017135 0.026481 0.042521 0.070344 0.125759
2025-05-11 0.007682 0.011323 0.016888 0.026363 0.042840 0.071862 0.130779
2025-05-18 0.007438 0.011040 0.016597 0.026155 0.042983 0.073064 0.135249